Epidemiology

Find the latest research on disease outbreaks, data modeling, statistics and prevalence of COVID 19:  

1. Emergence & Spread
2. Data Modeling & Statistics

August 2020

• *NEW Mechanisms of Airborne Infection via Evaporating and Sedimenting Droplets Produced by Speaking.

July 2020

• Seroprevalence of Antibodies to SARS-CoV-2 in 10 Sites in the United States, March 23-May 12, 2020.
• Serial interval of SARS-CoV-2 was shortened over time by nonpharmaceutical interventions.
• Evolution and epidemic spread of SARS-CoV-2 in Brazil.
• Seroprevalence of antibodies against SARS-CoV-2 among health care workers in a large Spanish reference hospital.
• Recurrence of positive SARS-CoV-2 viral RNA in recovered COVID-19 patients during medical isolation observation.
• Rapid implementation of SARS-CoV-2 sequencing to investigate cases of health-care associated COVID-19: a prospective genomic surveillance study.
• Probable Vertical Transmission of SARS-CoV-2 Infection.
• A Surface Coating that Rapidly Inactivates SARS-CoV-2.
• Increasing Temperature and Relative Humidity Accelerates Inactivation of SARS-CoV-2 on Surfaces.
• Estimation of country-level basic reproductive ratios for novel Coronavirus (SARS-CoV-2/COVID-19) using synthetic contact matrices.
• Household Transmission of SARS-CoV-2 from Adults to Children.
• Sentinel Coronavirus Environmental Monitoring Can Contribute to Detecting Asymptomatic SARS-CoV-2 Virus Spreaders and Can Verify Effectiveness of Workplace COVID-19 Controls.
• Diagnostic technology for COVID-19: comparative evaluation of antigen and serology-based SARS-CoV-2 immunoassays, and contact tracing solutions for potential use as at-home products.

June 2020

• Evidence for transmission of COVID-19 prior to symptom onset.
• Associations Between Built Environment, Neighborhood Socioeconomic Status, and SARS-CoV-2 Infection Among Pregnant Women in New York City.
• Epidemiological features and viral shedding in children with SARS-CoV-2 infection.
• SARS-CoV-2 genomic surveillance in Taiwan revealed novel ORF8-deletion mutant and clade possibly associated with infections in Middle East.
• Seroprevalence of anti-SARS-CoV-2 IgG antibodies in Geneva, Switzerland (SEROCoV-POP): a population-based study.
• Genomic surveillance reveals multiple introductions of SARS-CoV-2 into Northern California.
• SARS-CoV-2 Whole Genome Amplification and Sequencing for Effective Population-Based Surveillance and Control of Viral Transmission.

May 2020

• Herd Immunity: Understanding COVID-19.
• The transmission of SARS-CoV-2 is likely comodulated by temperature and by relative humidity.
• The airborne lifetime of small speech droplets and their potential importance in SARS-CoV-2 transmission.
• Strong Social Distancing Measures In The United States Reduced The COVID-19 Growth Rate.
• The effect of ambient temperature on worldwide COVID-19 cases and deaths - an epidemiological study.
• Quantitative COVID-19 infectiousness estimate correlating with viral shedding and culturability suggests 68% pre-symptomatic transmissions.
• COVID-19: animals, veterinary and zoonotic links.
• Epidemiologic and Clinical Characteristics of 26 Cases of COVID-19 Arising from Patient-to-Patient Transmission in Liaocheng, China.
• Evidence Supporting Transmission of Severe Acute Respiratory Syndrome Coronavirus 2 While Presymptomatic or Asymptomatic.

April 2020

• Connecting clusters of COVID-19: an epidemiological and serological investigation.
• Potential Fecal Transmission of SARS-CoV-2: Current Evidence and Implications for Public Health.
• Infection Density and Epidemic Size of COVID-19 in China outside the Hubei province.
• Asymptomatic Transmission, the Achilles’ Heel of Current Strategies to Control Covid-19.
• Spread of SARS-CoV-2 in the Icelandic Population.
• Presymptomatic SARS-CoV-2 Infections and Transmission in a Skilled Nursing Facility.
• Crowding and the epidemic intensity of COVID-19 transmission.
• Virological assessment of hospitalized patients with COVID-2019.
• A pneumonia outbreak associated with a new coronavirus of probable bat origin.

 

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August 2020

• *NEW Tracking the reach of COVID-19 kin loss with a bereavement multiplier applied to the United States.
• *NEW A stochastic agent-based model of the SARS-CoV-2 epidemic in France.
• *NEW Oscillations in U.S. COVID-19 Incidence and Mortality Data Reflect Diagnostic and Reporting Factors.
• *NEW Assessing the impact of coordinated COVID-19 exit strategies across Europe.

July 2020

• *NEW Exploring the SARS-CoV-2 virus-host-drug interactome for drug repurposing.
• *NEW The impact of COVID-19 and strategies for mitigation and suppression in low- and middle-income countries.
• Symptom clusters in Covid19: A potential clinical prediction tool from the COVID Symptom study app.
• Economic and social consequences of human mobility restrictions under COVID-19.
• Association between mobility patterns and COVID-19 transmission in the USA: a mathematical modelling study.
• Predictors of progression from moderate to severe COVID-19: a retrospective cohort.
• Effectiveness of isolation, testing, contact tracing, and physical distancing on reducing transmission of SARS-CoV-2 in different settings: a mathematical modelling study.
• A prospect on the use of antiviral drugs to control local outbreaks of COVID-19.

June 2020

• Epidemiological monitoring and control perspectives: application of a parsimonious modelling framework to the COVID-19 dynamics in France.
• Why are most COVID-19 infection curves linear?
• Identifying the measurements required to estimate rates of COVID-19 transmission, infection, and detection, using variational data assimilation.
• Impact of Superspreaders on dissemination and mitigation of COVID-19.
• Statistical analysis of the impact of environmental temperature on the exponential growth rate of cases infected by COVID-19.
• Dynamic interventions to control COVID-19 pandemic: a multivariate prediction modelling study comparing 16 worldwide countries.

May 2020

• Substantial underestimation of SARS-CoV-2 infection in the United States due to incomplete testing and imperfect test accuracy.
• A novel COVID-19 epidemiological model with explicit susceptible and asymptomatic isolation compartments reveals unexpected consequences of timing social distancing.
• Predicting the Growth and Trend of COVID-19 Pandemic using Machine Learning and Cloud Computing.
• Estimation of airborne viral emission: Quanta emission rate of SARS-CoV-2 for infection risk assessment.
• Inferring change points in the spread of COVID-19 reveals the effectiveness of interventions.
• Warmer weather and global trends in the coronavirus COVID-19.
• Estimating the burden of SARS-CoV-2 in France.
• Characterisation of COVID-19 Pandemic in Paediatric Age Group: A Systematic Review and Meta-Analysis.
• A simulation-based procedure to estimate base rates from Covid-19 antibody test results I: Deterministic test reliabilities.
• Estimation of COVID-19 prevalence in Italy, Spain, and France.
• Open access epidemiologic data and an interactive dashboard to monitor the COVID-19 outbreak in Canada.
• Modelling the evolution of COVID-19 in high-incidence European countries and regions: estimated number of infections and impact of past and future intervention measures.

April 2020

• Estimation of COVID-19 spread curves integrating global data and borrowing information.
• Methodological challenges in studying the COVID-19 pandemic crisis.
• Analysis of the mitigation strategies for COVID-19: from mathematical modelling perspective.
• Estimating the real-time case fatality rate of COVID-19 using Poisson mixtures model.
• First-wave COVID-19 transmissibility and severity in China outside Hubei after control measures, and second-wave scenario planning: a modelling impact assessment.
• Estimating the reproductive number and the outbreak size of COVID-19 in Korea.

 

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